Season 4 Episode 19 – Geopolitical Risk and Fluctuating Oil Prices

Welcome to Season 4, Episode 18 of the #AtlasWeekly podcasts: Geopolitical Risk and Fluctuating Oil Prices. We provide a snapshot of the latest weekly financial market issues affecting Australian expats. This week, Martin Jack, Financial Planner at Atlas Wealth Group, with fellow Financial Planner, Shaun Fairon, cover the sharp reversal in market sentiment after a brief spike in Middle East tensions. Together they break down the following;

• The 12-day Iran-Israel conflict and how markets responded once it became clear oil supply wasn’t threatened
• Why oil fell 13% and global shares rallied, with the US hitting record highs
• Key investor lessons from the crisis, including the limits of geopolitical forecasting and the importance of staying diversified
• Global macro data, including signs of a softening US economy, sticky inflation, and shifting central bank expectations
• Australia’s inflation print, which showed underlying CPI falling to 2.4%—supporting our base case for four RBA rate cuts over the next 8 months
• What’s ahead, including a packed data week featuring US jobs numbers, Chinese PMIs, Eurozone inflation, and a raft of Australian housing and spending figures.

About Weekly Recap

Tune in for a concise update tailored for Australian expats, covering the latest movements in equity, property, and currency markets. Martin also highlights key events to watch in the week ahead — from economic data releases to interest rate decisions and potential policy changes.